David C. Gompert

America and Europe : a partnership for a new era

Foreword Preface 1. Introduction: an Atlantic partnership for the new era David C. Gompert 2. Double enlargement: redefining the Atlantic partnership after the Cold War Ronald D. Asmus 3. An economic agenda for the new era Gregory Treverton 4. A new partnership: new Nato structures James A. Thomson 5. Europe as partner John Van Oudenaren 6. America as partner David C. Gompert 7. Security challenges on Europes Eastern periphery F. Stephen Larrabee 8. Challenges in the Greater Middle East Zalmay Khalilzad 9. A European comment John Roper 10. Conclusion: institutions and policies David C. Gompert and F. Stephen Larrabee Bibliography.

Making Liberia safe : transformation of the national security sector

Abstract : The security institutions, forces, and practices of the regime of Charles Taylor, Liberias former president, met none of the essential criteria for a sound security sector: coherence, legitimacy, effectiveness, and affordability. Yet even under new, able, and decent leadership, the old structures and ways are unworkable, wasteful, and confused, and they enjoy neither the trust nor the cooperation of the Liberian people at this critical juncture. It follows that Liberia must make a clean break, adopting a new security architecture, forces, management structure, and law. The government of President Ellen Johnson Sirleaf has made security sector transformation a high priority, and the United Nations, the United States, and others are helping Liberia build new forces. What has been done and planned so far to transform the Liberian security apparatus is valid and important. At the same time, Liberia and its partners need an overall security architecture, accompanied by a strategy to create it. Without an architecture and strategy, setting priorities will become increasingly difficult; gaps, redundancies, confusion, and political squabbling over forces are likely. In offering an architecture and strategy, this study identified additional measures, including additional capabilities, that would make Liberias security sector more coherent, legitimate, effective, and affordable. This report is the final component of the RAND Corporations research project with the U.S. government under which RAND was asked to advise the Liberian and U.S. governments on security sector transformation in Liberia. By agreement with the U.S. and Liberian governments, and by RANDs own tradition, the analysis and findings of this report are independent.

Cyber Warfare and Sino-American Crisis Instability

China and the US both recognise that an armed conflict between them would include cyber warfare. But there is a curious and risky failure to connect the tactical military advantages of cyber attacks with the strategic hazards.

Waging Cyber War the American Way

The United States should remain wary of offensive cyber war, but also able to make it count when no choice remains.

Cyber House Rules: On War, Retaliation and Escalation

Cyber war is unfamiliar, dynamic and potentially uncontrollable. While not as destructive as nuclear war, it should be approached with similar respect.

North Korea: Preparing for the End

pled but dangerous North Korean state will remain. The state, as we know it, may not survive for long. Yet, given its paranoia, the Kim regime can be expected to strike at its enemies if and as it faces oblivion. On top of a possible human apocalypse in the North, the stakes for the United States include the security of South Korea and of US forces there; the control of nuclear, chemical and biological weapons; Japan’s security; US standing in East Asia; the intervention of China in Korea; the future of Sino-American relations and prospects for a unified and democratic Korea. In the event of collapse, US interests and obligations would require action by the United States – quite possibly, major use of its armed forces. Although the North Korean state may survive for years or may go peacefully, the possibility of a violent end requires that the United States make serious preparations, which is the point of this essay. After examining the troubled conditions and troubling conduct of the North Korean state, the essay describes missions US military forces could be asked to perform if those conditions and that conduct go from bad to worse, or worst. It then explains what capabilities could be needed to perform such missions, taking into account both South Korean and Chinese capabilities and possible moves. The essay concludes by suggesting steps the United North Korea: Preparing for the End

‘Underkill’: Fighting Extremists amid Populations

The battle for Gaza revealed a favourite extremist strategy: hiding in cities and provoking attack to cause civilian deaths that can be blamed on the attacker. Western militaries, having no options but deadly force, are ill-equipped to defeat this strategy. Using deadly force in population centres can alienate the very people whose cooperation forces are trying to earn. To solve this problem, a suite of capabilities that includes sound, light, lasers, mobile phones, and video cameras – a ‘continuum of force’ – is proposed. In missions ranging from counter-insurgency to peacekeeping to humanitarian intervention, the typical small military unit needs portable, versatile, scalable capabilities to carry out its mission without harming civilians that get in the way. The technologies for these capabilities are at hand but have not been recognised as a solution to this strategic problem. They need high-level attention, integration and funding.

Creating a Sino-US Energy Relationship

America’s emergence as a producer of liquid hydrocarbons suggests an opportunity to sell energy to China, help reduce its greenhouse-gas emissions and lend stability to this most critical relationship.

The Day After: An Assessment. An American Perspective on 11 September

The apocalyptic terror visited upon the United States has inspired what looks like an extraordinary convergence of strategic thinking between America, its allies, Russia and other powers. Whether the convergence will endure remains, of course, an open question. In early November 2001, the IISS and Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS) – as part of their regular, bimonthly ‘European Security Forum’ in Brussels – invited American, European and Russian experts to assess the war against terrorism and its impact on world order. Their responses follow.