George R. Halliwell

North Atlantic Simulations with the Hybrid Coordinate Ocean Model (HYCOM): Impact of the Vertical Coordinate Choice, Reference Pressure, and Thermobaricity

The viability of a generalized (Hybrid) Coordinate Ocean Model (HYCOM), together with the importance of thermobaricity and the choice of reference pressure, is demonstrated by analyzing simulations carried out using the World Ocean Circulation Experiment (WOCE) Community Modeling Experiment (CME) Atlantic basin configuration. The standard hybrid vertical coordinate configuration is designed to remain isopycnic throughout as much of the water column as possible while smoothly making a transition to level (pressure) coordinates in regions with weak vertical density gradients, such as the surface mixed layer, and to terrain-following coordinates in shallow-water regions. Single-coordinate (pressure or density) experiments illustrate the flexibility of the model but also bring forward some of the limitations associated with such a choice. Hybrid experiments with potential density referenced to the surface ( su) and to 20 MPa (;2000 m) (s 2) illustrate the increased influence of pressure errors with increasing distance from the reference pressure. The su hybrid experiment does not properly reproduce the northward flow of Antarctic Bottom Water (AABW), and large errors in near-surface pressure gradients in the s 2 experiment produce a wind-driven gyre circulation that is too strong, when compared with observations, and a North Atlantic Current that follows an unrealistic path. These near-surface and nearbottom pressure errors are removed when thermobaric effects are included, resulting in a more accurate representation of the upper-ocean gyre circulation, the northward AABW flow near the bottom, and the meridional overturning circulation and heat flux.

The Response of Quasigeostrophic Oceanic Vortices to Tropical Cyclone Forcing

AbstractThe response of quasigeostrophic (QG) oceanic vortices to tropical cyclone (TC) forcing is investigated using an isopycnic ocean model. Idealized oceanic currents and wind fields derived from observational data acquired during Hurricane Katrina are used to initialize this model. It is found that the upwelling response is a function of the curl of wind-driven acceleration of oceanic mixed layer (OML) currents rather than a function of the wind stress curl. Upwelling (downwelling) regimes prevail under the TC’s eye as it translates over cyclonic (anticyclonic) QG vortices. OML cooling of ~1°C occurs over anticyclones because of the combined effects of downwelling, instantaneous turbulent entrainment over the deep warm water column (weak stratification), and vertical dispersion of near-inertial energy. By contrast, OML cooling of ~4°C occurs over cyclones due to the combined effects of upwelling, instantaneous turbulent entrainment over regions of tight vertical thermal gradients (strong stratificati...

Evaluation and Sensitivity Analysis of an Ocean Model Response to Hurricane Ivan

Abstract An ocean model response to Hurricane Ivan (2004) over the northwest Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico is evaluated to guide strategies for improving performance during strong forcing events in a region with energetic ocean features with the ultimate goal of improving coupled tropical cyclone forecasts. Based on prior experience, a control experiment is performed using quasi-optimal choices of initial ocean fields, atmospheric forcing fields, air–sea flux parameterizations, vertical mixing parameterizations, and both horizontal and vertical resolutions. Alternate experiments are conducted by altering one single model attribute and comparing the results to SST analyses and moored ADCP current measurements to quantify the sensitivity to that attribute and identify where to concentrate model improvement efforts. Atmospheric forcing that does not resolve the eye and eyewall of the storm (scales >10 km) substantially degrades the ocean response. Ordering other model attributes from greatest to least sen...

Ocean Prediction with the Hybrid Coordinate Ocean Model (HYCOM)

This chapter provides an overview of the effort centered on the HYbrid Coordinate Ocean Model (HYCOM) to develop an eddy-resolving, real-time global and basin-scale ocean prediction system in the context of the Global Ocean Data Assimilation Experiment (GODAE).

Rigorous Evaluation of a Fraternal Twin Ocean OSSE System for the Open Gulf of Mexico

Anewfraternaltwinoceanobservingsystemsimulationexperiment(OSSE)systemisvalidatedinaGulfof Mexico domain. It is the first ocean system that takes full advantage of design criteria and rigorous evaluation procedures developed to validate atmosphere OSSE systems that have not been fully implemented for the ocean. These procedures are necessary to determine a priori that the OSSE system does not overestimate or underestimate observing system impacts. The new system consists of 1) a nature run (NR) stipulated to represent the true ocean, 2) a data assimilation system consisting of a second ocean model (the ‘‘forecast model’’) coupled to a new ocean data assimilation system, and 3) software to simulate observations from the NR and to add realistic errors. The system design is described to illustrate the requirements of a validated OSSE system. The chosen NR reproduces the climatology and variability of ocean phenomena with sufficient realism. Although the same ocean model type is used (the ‘‘fraternal twin’’ approach), the forecast model is configured differently so that it approximately satisfies the requirement that differences (errors) with respect to the NR grow at the same rate as errors that develop between state-of-the-art ocean models and the true ocean. Rigorous evaluation procedures developed for atmospheric OSSEs are then applied by first performingobservingsystemexperiments(OSEs)toevaluateoneormoreexistingobservingsystems.OSSEsare thenperformedthatareidenticalexceptfortheassimilation ofsyntheticobservationssimulatedfromtheNR. Very similar impact assessments were realized between each OSE–OSSE pair, thus validating the system without the need for calibration.

Improving Ocean Model Initialization for Coupled Tropical Cyclone Forecast Models Using GODAE Nowcasts

Abstract To simulate tropical cyclone (TC) intensification, coupled ocean–atmosphere prediction models must realistically reproduce the magnitude and pattern of storm-forced sea surface temperature (SST) cooling. The potential for the ocean to support intensification depends on the thermal energy available to the storm, which in turn depends on both the temperature and thickness of the upper-ocean warm layer. The ocean heat content (OHC) is used as an index of this potential. Large differences in available thermal energy associated with energetic boundary currents and ocean eddies require their accurate initialization in ocean models. Two generations of the experimental U.S. Navy ocean nowcast–forecast system based on the Hybrid Coordinate Ocean Model (HYCOM) are evaluated for this purpose in the NW Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico prior to Hurricanes Isidore and Lili (2002), Ivan (2004), and Katrina (2005). Evaluations are conducted by comparison to in situ measurements, the navy’s three-dimensional Modu...

Westward-propagating SST Anomalies and Baroclinic Eddies in the Sargasso Sea

Abstract Previous studies have documented the existence of a zonal band of strong, persistent, westward-propagating sea surface temperature (Ts) anomalies with zonal wavelengths of ≈800 km and periods of ≈200 days that are confined to the subtropical convergence zone (STCZ, roughly 26°–32°N). Two years of satellite-derived sea surface temperature (Ts) and sea surface elevation anomaly (η) maps of the Sargasso Sea (22.5°–33.5°N, 71.5°–59.5°W) are analyzed to determine how these anomalies are forced and why they an confined to the STCZ. A simple anomaly model forced by horizontal eddy currents and damped by a linear feedback mechanism explains many properties of the anomaly response. At wavelengths exceeding several hundred kilometers, forcing by horizontal eddy currents becomes less important relative to atmospheric forcing with increasing wavelength. The anomalies are confined to the STCZ partly because the large mean Ts gradient there enables the horizontal eddy currents to be relatively effective at for...

Descriptive Oceanography During the Frontal Air-Sea Interaction Experiment' Medium- to Large-Scale Variability

Medium- and large-scale oceanographic variability in the Sargasso Sea is examined during the Frontal Air-Sea Interaction Experiment (FASINEX), focusing primarily on processes that influence the formation of subtropical fronts. From Fall to Spring the mean meridional gradient of meridional Ekman transport in the Subtropical Convergence Zone (STCZ) enhances the meridional sea surface temperature (Ts) gradients between 26 o and 32oN. In the presence of this enhanced mean gradient, baroclinic eddies with zonal wavelengths of =800 km and periods of =200 days exert the dominant influence on the formation of subtropical fronts at medium and large scales. These eddies generate westward propagating Ts anomaly features with the same dominant wavelengths and periods. They are confined between 26 o and 32oN and have amplitudes that occasionally exceed +_ IoC. Ts fronts tend to be found within bands =200 km wide that roughly follow the periphery of these anomaly features. Deformation in the horizontal eddy current field is primarily responsible for the existence of these frontal bands. The migration of the strong front originally bracketed by the FASINEX moored array was related to the westward propagation of the larger-scale eddy/anomaly/frontal-band pattern. The moored array was located within a warm-anomaly feature during most of the experiment, which produced exceptionally warm conditions in the upper ocean. These anomalies are confined between 26 o and 32oN, not only because the relatively large seasonal mean Tsy there allows horizontal eddy currents to force strong anomalies, but also because the baroclinic eddies with wavelengths of =800 km and periods of =200 days are confined to the STCZ. Large meridional variability exists in many properties of the eddy field, much of which can be traced to the influence of the Sargasso Sea mean current field on eddy variability.

Assessing the impact of observations on ocean forecasts and reanalyses: Part 2, Regional applications

The value of global (e.g. altimetry, satellite sea-surface temperature, Argo) and regional (e.g. radars, gliders, instrumented mammals, airborne profiles and biogeochemical) observation-types for monitoring the mesoscale ocean circulation and biogeochemistry is demonstrated using a suite of global and regional prediction systems and remotely-sensed data. A range of techniques is used to demonstrate the value of different observation-types to regional systems and the benefit of high-resolution and adaptive sampling for monitoring the mesoscale circulation. The techniques include Observing System Experiments, Observing System Simulation Experiments, adjoint sensitivities, representer matrix spectrum, observation footprints and spectral analysis. It is shown that local errors in global and basin-scale systems can be significantly reduced when assimilating observations from regional observing systems.

Idealized Study of Ocean Impacts on Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecasts

AbstractIdealized coupled tropical cyclone (TC) simulations are conducted to isolate ocean impacts on intensity forecasts. A one-dimensional ocean model is embedded into the Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting (HWRF) mesoscale atmospheric forecast model. By inserting an initial vortex into a horizontally uniform atmosphere above a horizontally uniform ocean, the SST cooling rate becomes the dominant large-scale process controlling intensity evolution. Westward storm translation is introduced by bodily advecting ocean fields toward the east. The ocean model produces a realistic cold wake structure allowing the sensitivity of quasi-equilibrium intensity to storm (translation speed, size) and ocean (heat potential) parameters to be quantified. The atmosphere provides feedback through adjustments in 10-m temperature and humidity that reduce SST cooling impact on quasi-equilibrium intensity by up to 40%. When storms encounter an oceanic region with different heat potential, enthalpy flux adjustment is g...