James H. Whitcomb

Earthquake Prediction: Variation of Seismic Velocities before the San Francisco Earthquake

A large precursory change in seismic body-wave velocities occurred before the earthquake in San Fernando, California. The discovery that this change is mainly in the P-wave velocity clearly relates the effect to the phenomenon of dilatancy in fluid-filled rocks. This interpretation is supported by the time-volume relation obtained by combining the present data with the data from previous studies. The duration of the precursor period is proportional to the square of an effective fault dimension, which indicates that a diffusive or fluid-flow phenomenon controls the time interval between the initiation of dilatancy and the return to a fully saturated condition which is required for rupture.

Point Mugu, California, Earthquake of 21 February 1973 and Its Aftershocks

Seismological investigations show that the Point Mugu earthquake involved north-south crustal shortening deep within the complex fault zone that marks the southern front of the Transverse Ranges province. This earthquake sequence results from the same stress system responsible for the deformation in this province in the Pliocene through Holocene and draws attention to the significant earthquake hazard that the southern frontal fault system poses to the Los Angeles metropolitan area.

Electrical structure in a region of the Transverse Ranges, southern California

Magnetotelluric sounding at a site in the Transverse Ranges province in southern California indicates a low-resistivity region in the lower crust and possibly also the upper mantle. A two-dimensional model fit to the data indicates that the resistivity of this region is between 1 and 10 ωm. The depth to the top surface of this zone is between 15 and 20 km. The lateral extent of this feature, which strikes N65°W, appears to be confined to the Transverse Ranges province. The petrological characteristics of this region cannot be deduced unambiguously from the magnetotelluric sounding alone.