Jens Debernard

Can polar lows lead to a warming of the ocean surface

Possible surface warming by strong wind-forcing from polar lows in the North-Atlantic has been investigated using a numerical model for vertical entrainment of waters from a subsurface warm core, and microwave satellite images of sea-surface temperature during polar low events. The hypothesis is based on the frequently observed subsurface warm core in oceans influenced by the North-Atlantic current (NAC) or by outflowing surface water from the Arctic Ocean. CTD-soundings from the Nordic Seas reveal that the waters from the NAC are located under colder and less saline surface waters in winter. For sufficiently strong wind events, turbulent entrainment of this subsurface warm core may lead to a rapid surface warming. Our main findings is that the surface warming of more than 1 ◦C may take place within a few hours. The result is based on model runs with initial temperature and salinity profiles from CTD-observations. Observational evidence of surface temperatures that support the hypothesis are found in microwave satellite observations from a polar lowevent. In the case presented here, increased sea-surface temperatures between 1 and 2 ◦C were observed. We believe that rapid surfacewarming of this magnitude may be a potential positive feedback mechanism for the cyclone intensity.

A combined optimal interpolation and nudging scheme to assimilate OSISAF sea-ice concentration into ROMS

Abstract The Ocean and Sea Ice Satellite Application Facility (OSISAF) of the European Organisation for the Exploitation of Meteorological Satellites (EUMETSAT) distributes satellite observations operationally. In this paper, we describe the development of a combined optimal interpolation and nudging (COIN) scheme in the Norwegian Meteorological Institute that assimilates OSISAF sea-ice concentration (SIC) into a coupled sea-ice–ocean Regional Ocean Modeling System (ROMS). The scheme modifies the modeled SIC at every time-step, based on the difference between observation and forecast as well as on the ratio of observation error to model error. Snow and sea-ice thickness are diagnostically modified to match the ice concentration field. Hindcast experiments of Arctic sea ice are performed for the whole of 2009. The results are compared with OSISAF and Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer for Earth Observing System (AMSR-E) SIC, showing a significant improvement in the analyzed sea-ice edge and summer SIC.