Marcos Antonio Macedo Cintra

Inflação e deflação de ativos a partir do mercado imobiliário americano

This paper deals with the financial crisis triggered after the default of subprime mortgages in the United States which expanded to a global systemic crisis. It is divided into a brief introduction and three sections. The first section sums up the dynamics of inflation and deflation of real estate and financial assets which characterizes finance-led cycles. The second section covers major effect of financial assets deflation on the American and European banks. The third section focuses on measures implemented by central banks in order to manage this financial crisis.

A crise financeira e o global shadow banking system

The financial crisis triggered by increasing default rate, real estate devaluation and financial asset depreciation combined with U.S. subprime mortgages brought about the debate over the framework of the U.S. and international financial systems, their potential systemic risks, and their regulatory and supervisory mechanisms. A great variety of financial institutions which were poorly regulated and badly supervised changed into the counterpart of the credit risk transfer from the banking system and started to hold increasing risks. This paper deals with the interaction of these financial institutions, including a description of some features of the major stage in this process - the so-called over-the-counter (OTC) market - and the use of financial innovations which amplified the crisis. It also aims to clarify the need for improvements in terms of regulation and supervision considering the complexity and opacity of these institutions and markets.

Suave fracasso: a política macroeconômica brasileira entre 1999 e 2005

This article supports the thesis that the Brazilian macroeconomic model has proven to be capable of creating economic cycles, which follow expansion and retraction movements of liquidity and world trade. However, it has not been able to bring back the country to the economic and social development pathway. The exchange, monetary and fiscal policies are contradictory and contribute to obstruct a sustained growth, the tackling of infrastructure constraints, and the expansion of social expenditure.

A arquitetura do sistema financeiro internacional contemporâneo

This paper discusses some features of financial institutions and instruments which originated the financial crisis triggered by increasing default rate, household real estate and financial asset depreciation combined with U.S. subprime mortgages. The first part presents major crisis events in a chronological order. The second part describes the interconnection of the institutions and markets which engendered a global shadow financial system. The third part focuses on an overview of measures taken by government authorities and large banks to bring about possible solutions for the global financial crisis.

Euforia e pessimismo: os ciclos de ativos, crédito e investimento da economia americana após 1982

The US finance underwent deep changes as from the 1980s when market led finance increasingly prevailed. The wealth and credit management forced a specific dynamics upon asset prices and reverberated throughout spending decisions (consumption and investment) of economic agents. This paper deals with the net worth evolution of these agents in the recent three growth cycles of the US economy under the command of asset and credit cycles, the so-called financial-led cycles.