Reed D. Quinn

Long-Term Survival of the Very Elderly Undergoing Aortic Valve Surgery

Background— Increasing numbers of the very elderly are undergoing aortic valve procedures. We describe the short- and long-term survivorship for this cohort. Methods and Results— We conducted a cohort study of 7584 consecutive patients undergoing open aortic valve surgery without (51.1%; AVR) or with (48.9%; AVR + CABG) concomitant coronary artery bypass graft surgery between November 10, 1987 through June 30, 2006. Patient records were linked to the Social Security Administration’s Death Master File. Survivorship was stratified by age and concomitant CABG surgery. During 39 835 person-years of follow-up, there were 2877 deaths. Among AVR, there were 3304 patients <80 years of age, 419 patients 80 to 84 years, and 156 patients ≥85 years (24 patients >90 years). Among AVR+CABG patients, there were 2890 patients <80 years of age, 577 patients 80 to 84 years, and 238 patients ≥85 years (22 patients >90 years). Median survivorship for patients undergoing isolated AVR was 11.5 years (<80 years), 6.8 years (80 to 84 years), 6.2 years (≥85 years); for patients undergoing AVR+CABG, median survivorship was 9.4 years (<80 years), 6.8 years (80 to 84 years), and 7.1 years (≥85 years). Among both procedures, adjusted survivorship was significantly different across strata of age (P<0.001). These findings are similar to life expectancy of the general population from actuarial tables: 80 to 84 years (7 years) and ≥85 years (5 years). Conclusions— Survivorship among octogenarians is favorable, with more than half the patients surviving more than 6 years after their surgery. Concomitant CABG surgery does not diminish median survivorship among patients >80 years of age.

Long-Term Survival of the Very Elderly Undergoing Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting

BACKGROUND Increasing numbers of the very elderly are undergoing coronary artery bypass graft surgery (CABG). Short-term results have been studied, but few data are available concerning long-term outcomes. METHODS We conducted a cohort study of 54,397 consecutive patients undergoing primary, isolated CABG surgery between July 1, 1987, and June 30, 2006. Patient records were linked to the Social Security Administrations Death Master File. RESULTS During 390,871 person-years of follow-up, there were 17,352 deaths. There were 51,149 patients younger than 80 years, 2,661 patients aged 80 to 84 years, and 587 patients aged 85 or more years who underwent isolated CABG surgery. Crude in-hospital survival was 97.2% for those less than 80 years, 98.3% for those aged 80 to 84 years, and 87.6% for those aged 85 or more years. Patients aged 80 or more years were more likely to be female (46.9%), more likely to be emergency priority (10.2%), and more likely to have associated comorbidities than younger patients. Patients aged 85 or more years were more likely to have intraoperative and postoperative morbid events. Among patients younger than 80, median survival was 14.4 years with an annual incidence of death of 4.2%. Among patients 80 to 84 years old, median survival time was 7.4 years, with an annual incidence rate of death of 10.3%. Among patients aged 85 or more years, median survival was 5.8 years, and the annual incidence of death was 13.7%. CONCLUSIONS Although very elderly CABG patients have more comorbidities and more acute presentation than younger patients and their in-hospital mortality rate is high, their long-term survival is surprisingly good.

Improved in-hospital mortality in women undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting

BACKGROUND Few studies have examined the changes in in-hospital mortality for women over time. We describe the changing case mix and mortality for women undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) from 1987 to 1997 in northern New England. METHODS Data were collected on 8,029 women and 21,139 men undergoing isolated CABG. The study consisted of three time periods (1987 to 1989, 1990 to 1992, and 1993 to 1997) to account for regional efforts to improve quality of care that occurred during 1990 to 1992. RESULTS Compared with 1987 to 1989, women undergoing CABG in 1993 to 1997 were older, had poorer ventricular function, and more often required urgent or emergency operations. The crude and adjusted mortality rates for both women and men decreased significantly over time. The absolute magnitude of the change in adjusted rates was greater for women (3.1%) than for men (1.5%). Although women represented only 28% of the study population, the decrease in their mortality accounted for 44% of the total decrease in adjusted mortality during the study period. CONCLUSIONS Over the last decade there has been a marked decrease in CABG mortality for women, despite a worsening case mix.

Trends in Rates of Reexploration for Hemorrhage After Coronary Artery Bypass Surgery

BACKGROUND While mortality rates associated with coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) have been declining, it is unknown whether similar improvements in the rates of morbidity have been occurring. This study examines trends in reexploration rates for hemorrhage, one of the serious complications of CABG surgery. It also explores changes in patient characteristics and several surgeon practice patterns potentially related to bleeding risks that may explain variations in these rates. METHODS We performed a regional observational study of all of the 12,555 consecutive patients undergoing isolated CABG surgery in northern New England between 1992 and 1997. The rates of reexploration and patient characteristics were examined between two time intervals: period I (January 1, 1992 to June 1, 1994) and period II (June 1, 1995 to March 31, 1997). All of the regions 23 practicing surgeons responsible for these patients were surveyed to assess changes in practice patterns potentially related to bleeding risks. RESULTS The adjusted rates of reexploration for bleeding declined 46% between periods I and II (3.6% versus 2.0%, p < 0.001). All of the five cardiac centers in northern New England showed similar trends with adjusted risk reductions ranging from 32% to 48% between the two time periods. This decline occurred despite the patients in period II having higher percentages of risk factors for reexploration for bleeding compared to patients in period I. From the surgeon survey, the number of surgeons using antifibrinolytics markedly increased from period I to period II. More surgeons were also using preoperative aspirin and heparin up until the time of surgery in period II. CONCLUSIONS Similar to the rates of mortality, the rates of reexploration for bleeding following CABG surgery are substantially declining. This decrease in the reexploration rates occurred despite higher patient risks.

Same Admission Cardiac Catheterization and Cardiac Surgery: Is There an Increased Incidence of Acute Kidney Injury?

BACKGROUND Acute kidney injury (AKI) is predictive of increased long-term mortality after cardiac surgery. Patients often undergo surgery after cardiac catheterization during the same admission for reasons of instability and threatening anatomy as well as nonurgent reasons such as patient convenience. We hypothesized that patients undergoing cardiac catheterization and cardiac surgery during the same admission are more likely to develop AKI after cardiac surgery than patients for whom surgery is performed on a later admission. METHODS We prospectively enrolled 668 nonemergent adult cardiac surgical cases. Patients having heart catheterization were divided into two groups: cardiac catheterization followed by cardiac surgery during the same hospital admission (same admission) or catheterization followed by surgery during a later admission (later admission). The AKI was defined by an increase in serum creatinine from baseline by 50% or greater or 0.3 (mg/dL) or greater. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression and propensity-matched analyses were conducted. RESULTS The incidence of AKI was significantly higher in the patients who had same admission cardiac catheterization and surgery (50.2%) compared with patients who had surgery on a later admission (33.7%, p = 0.009). The adjusted odds ratio for surgery on a later admission was 1.54 (95% confidence interval: 1.11 to 2.13) suggesting a 54% increased risk of AKI. Propensity-matched results were similar with 1.58 (95% confidence interval: 1.13 to 2.22). CONCLUSIONS When cardiac catheterization and cardiac surgery occur during the same hospitalization, there is an increased risk for postoperative AKI. After cardiac catheterization, discharge and readmission for nonurgent surgery should be considered as such an approach might reduce the risk of AKI.

Predicting the Risk of Death from Heart Failure After Coronary Artery Bypass Graft Surgery

Heart failure is the most common cause of death among coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) patients. In addition, most variation in observed mortality rates for CABG surgery is explained by fatal heart failure. The purpose of this study was to develop a clinical risk assessment tool so that clinicians can rapidly and easily assess the risk of fatal heart failure while caring for individual patients. Using prospective data for 8,641 CABG patients, we used logistic regression analysis to predict the risk of fatal heart failure. In multivariate analysis, female sex, prior CABG surgery, ejection fraction <40%, urgent or emergency surgery, advanced age (70–79 yr and >80 yr), peripheral vascular disease, diabetes, dialysis-dependent renal failure and three-vessel coronary disease were significant predictors of fatal postoperative heart failure. A clinical risk assessment tool was developed from this logistic regression model, which had good discriminating characteristics (receiver operating characteristic clinical source = 0.75, 95% confidence interval: 0.71, 0.78).

Outcomes of Patients Undergoing Concomitant Aortic and Mitral Valve Surgery in Northern New England

Background— Concomitant aortic (AV) and mitral (MV) valve surgery accounts for 4% of all valve procedures in northern New England. We examined in-hospital and long-term mortality. Methods and Results— This is a report of a prospective study of 1057 patients undergoing concomitant AV and MV surgery from 1989 to 2007. The Social Security Administration Death Master File was used to assess long-term survival. Kaplan–Meier and log-rank tests were performed. In-hospital mortality was 15.5% (11.0% for patients <70 years, 18.0% for 70- to 79-year-olds, and 24% for those ≥80 years). Overall median survival was 7.3 years. Median survival without coronary artery bypass grafting was 9.5 years and with coronary artery bypass grafting was 5.7 years (P<0.001). Survival in women was worse than in men (7.3 versus 9.3, years, P=0.033). Median survival by age was 11.0 years for patients <70 years, 5.4 years for 70- to 79-year-olds, and 4.8 years for those ≥80 years. Median survival was not significantly different for patients ≥80 years compared with those who were 70 to 79 years old (P=0.245). Conclusions— Double-valve surgery has a high in-hospital mortality rate and a median survival of 7.3 years. After patients have survived surgery, long-term survival is similar between men and women, smaller and larger patients, and those receiving MV repair or replacement. Survival continues to decline after surviving surgery for patients ≥70 years old and those who undergo concomitant coronary artery bypass grafting. In patients <70 years, either mechanical valves in both positions or a tissue AV and mitral repair have the lowest in-hospital mortality and the best long-term survival. In patients ≥70 years, tissue valves in both positions have the best in-hospital and long-term survival.

Detection and Elimination of Microemboli Related to Cardiopulmonary Bypass

Background—Neurobehavioral impairment is a common complication of coronary bypass surgery. Cerebral microemboli during cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) are a principal mechanism of cognitive injury. The aim of this work was to study the occurrence of cerebral embolism during CPB and to evaluate the effectiveness of evidence-based CPB circuit component and process changes on the exposure of the patient to emboli. Methods and Results—M-Mode Doppler was used to detect emboli in the inflow and outflow of cardiopulmonary circuit and in the right and left middle cerebral arteries. Doppler signals were merged into a single display to allow real-time associations between discrete clinical techniques and emboli detection. One hundred sixty-nine isolated coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) patients were studied between 2002 and 2008. There was no statistical difference in median microemboli detected in the inflow of the CPB circuit, (Phase I, 931; Phase II, 1214; Phase III, 1253; Phase IV, 1125; F [3,158]=0.8, P=0.96). Significant changes occurred in median microemboli detected in the outflow of the CPB circuit across phases, (Phase I, 702; Phase II, 572; Phase III, 596; Phase IV, 85; F [3,157]=13.1, P<0.001). Significant changes also occurred in median microemboli detected in the brain across phases, (Phase I, 604; Phase II, 429; Phase III, 407; Phase IV, 138; F [3,153]=14.4, P<0.001). Changes in the cardiopulmonary bypass circuit were associated with an 87.9% (702 versus 85) reduction in median microemboli in the outflow of the CPB circuit (P<0.001), and a 77.2% (604 versus 146) reduction in microemboli in the brain (P<0.001). Conclusions—Changes in CPB techniques and circuit components, including filter size and type of pump, resulted in a reduction in more than 75% of cerebral microemboli.

Impact of perioperative acute kidney injury as a severity index for thirty-day readmission after cardiac surgery.

BACKGROUND Of patients undergoing cardiac surgery in the United States, 15% to 20% are re-hospitalized within 30 days. Current models to predict readmission have not evaluated the association between severity of postoperative acute kidney injury (AKI) and 30-day readmissions. METHODS We collected data from 2,209 consecutive patients who underwent either coronary artery bypass or valve surgery at 7 member hospitals of the Northern New England Cardiovascular Disease Study Group Cardiac Surgery Registry between July 2008 and December 2010. Administrative data at each hospital were searched to identify all patients readmitted to the index hospital within 30 days of discharge. We defined AKI stages by the AKI Network definition of 0.3 or 50% increase (stage 1), twofold increase (stage 2), and a threefold or 0.5 increase if the baseline serum creatinine was at least 4.0 (mg/dL) or new dialysis (stage 3). We evaluate the association between stages of AKI and 30-day readmission using multivariate logistic regression. RESULTS There were 260 patients readmitted within 30 days (12.1%). The median time to readmission was 9 (interquartile range, 4 to 16) days. Patients not developing AKI after cardiac surgery had a 30-day readmission rate of 9.3% compared with patients developing AKI stage 1 (16.1%), AKI stage 2 (21.8%), and AKI stage 3 (28.6%, p < 0.001). Adjusted odds ratios for AKI stage 1 (1.81; 1.35, 2.44), stage 2 (2.39; 1.38, 4.14), and stage 3 (3.47; 1.85 to 6.50). Models to predict readmission were significantly improved with the addition of AKI stage (c-statistic 0.65, p = 0.001) and net reclassification rate of 14.6% (95% confidence interval: 5.05% to 24.14%, p = 0.003). CONCLUSIONS In addition to more traditional patient characteristics, the severity of postoperative AKI should be used when assessing a patients risk for readmission.

Effect of Preoperative Pulmonary Hypertension on Outcomes in Patients With Severe Aortic Stenosis Following Surgical Aortic Valve Replacement

Pulmonary hypertension (PH) is prevalent in patients with aortic stenosis (AS); however, previous studies have demonstrated inconsistent results regarding the association of PH with adverse outcomes after aortic valve replacement (AVR). The goal of this study was to evaluate the effects of preoperative PH on outcomes after AVR. We performed a regional prospective cohort study using the Northern New England Cardiovascular Disease Study Group database to identify 1,116 consecutive patients from 2005 to 2010 who underwent AVR ± coronary artery bypass grafting for severe AS with a preoperative assessment of pulmonary pressures by right-sided cardiac catheterization. PH was defined as a mean pulmonary artery pressure of ≥25 mm Hg, with severity based on the pulmonary artery systolic pressure-mild, 35 to 44 mm Hg; moderate, 45 to 59 mm Hg; and severe, ≥60 mm Hg. We found that PH was present in 536 patients (48%). Postoperative acute kidney injury, low-output heart failure, and in-hospital mortality increased with worsening severity of PH. In multivariate logistic regression, severe PH was independently associated with postoperative acute kidney injury (adjusted odds ratio 4.1, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.7 to 10, p = 0.002) and in-hospital mortality (adjusted odds ratio 6.9, 95% CI 2.5 to 19.1, p <0.001). There was a significant association between PH and decreased 5-year survival (adjusted log-rank p value = 0.006), with severe PH being associated with the poorest survival (adjusted hazard ratio 2.4, 95% CI 1.3 to 4.2, p = 0.003). In conclusion, severe PH in patients with severe AS is associated with increased rates of in-hospital adverse events and decreased 5-year survival after AVR.