Maarten H. P. Ambaum

Arctic oscillation or North Atlantic oscillation

The definition and interpretation of the Arctic oscillation (AO) are examined and compared with those of the North Atlantic oscillation (NAO). It is shown that the NAO reflects the correlations between the surface pressure variability at its centers of action, whereas this is not the case for the AO. The NAO pattern can be identified in a physically consistent way in principal component analysis applied to various fields in the Euro-Atlantic region. A similar identification is found in the Pacific region for the Pacific‐North American (PNA) pattern, but no such identification is found here for the AO. The AO does reflect the tendency for the zonal winds at 358 and 558N to anticorrelate in both the Atlantic and Pacific regions associated with the NAO and PNA. Because climatological features in the two ocean basins are at different latitudes, the zonally symmetric nature of the AO does not mean that it represents a simple modulation of the circumpolar flow. An increase in the AO or NAO implies strong, separated tropospheric jets in the Atlantic but a weakened Pacific jet. The PNA has strong related variability in the Pacific jet exit, but elsewhere the zonal wind is similar to that related to the NAO. The NAO-related zonal winds link strongly through to the stratosphere in the Atlantic sector. The PNA-related winds do so in the Pacific, but to a lesser extent. The results suggest that the NAO paradigm may be more physically relevant and robust for Northern Hemisphere variability than is the AO paradigm. However, this does not disqualify many of the physical mechanisms associated with annular modes for explaining the existence of the NAO.

The NAO Troposphere–Stratosphere Connection

Using monthly mean data, daily data, and theoretical arguments, relationships between surface pressure variations associated with the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), tropopause height, and the strength of the stratospheric vortex are established. An increase in the NAO index leads to a stronger stratospheric vortex, about 4 days later, as a result of increased equatorward refraction of upward-propagating Rossby waves. At tropopause level the effects of the enhanced NAO index and stratospheric polar vortex are opposite, resulting in a lower tropopause over Iceland and a higher tropopause over the Arctic. The raising of the Arctic tropopause leads to a stretching and spinup of the tropospheric column and is therefore associated with a lowering of the surface pressure near the North Pole. For monthly mean data it is found that a standard deviation increase in the NAO index is associated with a 10% increase in the strength of the stratospheric vortex, as measured by potential vorticity at 500 K. A simple theoretical model predicts that this is associated with about 300-m elevation of the Arctic tropopause, as is observed, and a 5-hPa lowering of the surface pressure at the North Pole. The effects of the spinup of the tropospheric column may project on the NAO pattern so that the stratosphere acts as an integrator of the NAO index.

Tracer correlations in the northern high latitude lowermost stratosphere: Influence of cross-tropopause mass exchange

We present an analysis of trace gas correlations in the lowermost stratosphere. In-situ aircraft measurements of CO, N(2)O, NO(y) and O(3) Obtained during the STREAM 1997 winter campaign, have been used to investigate the role of cross-tropopause mass exchange on tracer-tracer relations. At altitudes several;kilometers above the local tropopause, undisturbed stratospheric air was found with NO(y)/NO(y)* ratios close to unity, NO(y)/O(3) about 0.003 - 0.006 and CO mixing ratios as low as 20 ppbv (NO(y)* is a proxy for total reactive nitrogen derived from NO(y)-N(2)O relations measured in the stratosphere). Mixing of tropospheric-air into the lowermost stratosphere has been identified by enhanced ratios of NO(y)/NO(y)* and NO(y)/O(3), and from scatter plots of CO versus O(3). The enhanced NO(y)/O(3) ratio in the lowermost stratospheric mixing zone points to a reduced efficiency of O(3) formation from aircraft NO(x) emissions.

Empirical Orthogonal Functions: The Medium is the Message

Empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis is a powerful tool for data compression and dimensionality reduction used broadly in meteorology and oceanography. Often in the literature, EOF modes are interpreted individually, independent of other modes. In fact, it can be shown that no such attribution can generally be made. This review demonstrates that in general individual EOF modes (i) will not correspond to individual dynamical modes, (ii) will not correspond to individual kinematic degrees of freedom, (iii) will not be statistically independent of other EOF modes, and (iv) will be strongly influenced by the nonlocal requirement that modes maximize variance over the entire domain. The goal of this review is not to argue against the use of EOF analysis in meteorology and oceanography; rather, it is to demonstrate the care that must be taken in the interpretation of individual modes in order to distinguish the medium from the message.

Enhancement of cloud formation by droplet charging

Charge affects the activation of cloud droplets by reducing the minimum supersaturation at which haze droplets begin to grow. Although the droplet charge required to enhance activation is substantial, we show that sufficient charging occurs at the edges of layer clouds because the fair-weather current in the global atmospheric electrical circuit flows through a discontinuity in conductivity. Our theory predicts that droplet neutralization will cause a transient cooling of cloud base. This hypothesis was tested during a period of extreme solar activity, when we detected transient current bursts at the surface beneath a layer of cloud. We attribute these to bursts of ion production, which would cause transient droplet neutralization in the cloud and an associated increase in droplet critical supersaturation. We observed transient decreases in downward long-wave radiation measurements coincident with the transient current bursts. As the vertical current density passing through stratiform clouds is a global phenomenon, there are many regions in which a charge enhancement effect on cloud formation can potentially occur; we find that the effect of charge-enhanced activation on surface radiation in the present-day climate could be as large as 0.1 W m−2.

The three-dimensional vortical nature of atmospheric and oceanic turbulent flows

Using a novel numerical method at unprecedented resolution, we demonstrate that structures of small to intermediate scale in rotating, stratified flows are intrinsically three-dimensional. Such flows are characterized by vortices (spinning volumes of fluid), regions of large vorticity gradients, and filamentary structures at all scales. It is found that such structures have predominantly three-dimensional dynamics below a horizontal scale L≈12LR, where LR is the so-called Rossby radius of deformation, equal to the characteristic vertical scale of the fluid H divided by the ratio of the rotational and buoyancy frequencies f/N. The breakdown of two-dimensional dynamics at these scales is attributed to the so-called “tall-column instability” [D. G. Dritschel and M. de la Torre Juarez, J. Fluid. Mech. 328, 129 (1996)], which is active on columnar vortices that are tall after scaling by f/N, or, equivalently, that are narrow compared with LR. Moreover, this instability eventually leads to a simple relationship...

Cloud base height and cosmic rays

Cosmic rays modify current flow in the global atmospheric electrical circuit. Charging at horizontal layer cloud edges has been observed to be consistent with global circuit vertical current flow through the cloud, which can modify the properties of small and pure water droplets. Studies have been hampered by the absence of cloud edge observations, hence cloud base height information is investigated here. Cloud base height measured at the Lerwick Observatory, Shetland, UK, is analysed using threshold tests and spectral analysis. The cloud base height distributions for low cloud (cloud base less than 800 m) are found to vary with cosmic ray conditions. Further, 27 day and 1.68 year periodicities characteristic of cosmic ray variations are present, weakly, in the cloud base height data of stratiform clouds, when such periodicities are present in neutron monitor cosmic ray data. These features support the idea of propagation of heliospheric variability into layer clouds, through the global atmospheric electric circuit.

Observed atmospheric electricity effect on clouds

The atmospheres fair weather electric field is a permanent feature, arising from the combination of distant thunderstorms, Earths conducting surface, a charged ionosphere and cosmic ray ionization. Despite its ubiquity, no fair weather electricity effect on clouds has been hitherto demonstrated. Here we report surface measurements of radiation emitted and scattered by extensive thin continental cloud, which, after ~2 min delay, shows changes closely following the fair weather electric field. For typical fluctuations in the fair weather electric field, changes of about 10% are subsequently induced in the diffuse short-wave radiation. These observations are consistent with enhanced production of large cloud droplets from charging at layer cloud edges.

A parametric sensitivity study of entropy production and kinetic energy dissipation using the FAMOUS AOGCM

The possibility of applying either the maximum entropy production conjecture of Paltridge (Q J R Meteorol Soc 101:475–484, 1975) or the conjecture of Lorenz (Generation of available potential energy and the intensity of the general circulation. Pergamon, Tarrytown, 1960) of maximum generation of available potential energy (APE) in FAMOUS, a complex but low-resolution AOGCM, is explored by varying some model parameters to which the simulated climate is highly sensitive, particularly the convective entrainment rate,